forecast
FOR-kast
/ˈfɔːrkæst/
A prediction or estimate of future events, especially coming weather or financial trends.
A forecast is distinct from a wild guess; it is always based on data, historical patterns, and systematic analysis.
The story behind the word. Coined in Middle English, 'forecast' literally meant to throw one's mind forward. In the 1860s, Admiral Robert FitzRoy, the captain of HMS Beagle, wanted a scientific term for weather predictions that didn't sound like astrology, so he popularized 'forecast' for his storm warnings.
Word relationships
- projection: A projection extends current trends into the future, whereas a forecast may incorporate complex external variables.
- prediction: A prediction can be based on intuition, while a forecast implies a systematic, data-driven approach.
- retrospect: Retrospect is a review of past events, whereas a forecast looks entirely to the future.
Commonly confused with
- prophecy: A prophecy is often mystical or divinely inspired, while a forecast is strictly analytical.
Word family
- forecaster (noun): A person who predicts future events, especially weather or financial trends.
- forecasting (noun): The process of making predictions based on past and present data.
Collocations
- economic forecast
- weather forecast
- sales forecast
- accurate forecast
Example sentences
- "The CFO presented a conservative revenue forecast for the next fiscal year." Financial Planning
- "Robert FitzRoy was the first to use the term 'forecast' to describe his daily weather predictions." Historical Meteorology
Memory hook
To forecast is to cast your eyes forward into the future. Cast your eyes forward to see the future.
When not to use
Do not use for supernatural predictions or prophecies (use 'prophecy' or 'prediction' instead).
Fun facts
- Robert FitzRoy's first public weather forecasts were published in The Times in 1861, saving countless sailors' lives.
Related words
Explore more words
predict, projection, Predictive, prognosis, prophecy, anticipate
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