Probability

prob-uh-BIL-uh-tee /ˌprɒbəˈbɪləti/
nounB2GRESATIELTSTOEFL
formalacademic

The extent to which something is probable; the likelihood of something happening or being the case.

In mathematics, probability is a numerical measure (between 0 and 1) of the likelihood of an event occurring. It's used to quantify uncertainty.

The story behind the word. The word 'probability' traces its roots back to the Latin 'probabilitas,' meaning 'credibility' or 'likelihood.' This comes from 'probabilis,' meaning 'credible,' 'plausible,' or 'provable,' which itself is from 'probare,' 'to test, to prove.' So, at its heart, probability is about what can be 'proven' or 'tested' to be likely, moving from a general sense of credibility to a precise mathematical measure of chance.

Word relationships

  • likelihood: Likelihood is a general term for how probable something is; probability is often a specific numerical measure.
  • chance: Chance can be used informally for probability, but 'probability' is the formal, mathematical term.
  • impossibility: Impossibility means something cannot happen, while probability measures how likely it is to happen.
  • certainty: Certainty means something will definitely happen (probability of 1), while probability deals with events that are not certain.

Commonly confused with

  • Possibility: Possibility refers to whether something can happen, while probability refers to how likely it is to happen, often with a numerical value.

Word family

  • probable (adjective): Likely to happen or be true.
  • probably (adverb): Almost certainly; as far as one can tell.

Collocations

  • high probability
  • low probability
  • probability theory
  • conditional probability
  • joint probability

Idioms & expressions

  • in all probability

Example sentences

  • "The probability of rolling a six on a fair die is one-sixth." Explaining a statistical concept.
  • "Despite the low probability of a major earthquake, residents were advised to have emergency kits ready." Discussing real-world risk.
  • "Actuaries specialize in calculating the probability of future events, such as accidents or deaths, for insurance purposes." Referring to a field of study.

Memory hook

Think 'PROB-ability' as the 'PROBable' outcome, or 'PROBING' how likely something is. Likely-test

When not to use

Avoid using 'probability' when you mean 'possibility' if you're not referring to a quantifiable likelihood. 'Possibility' is more general and doesn't imply a numerical measure.

Fun facts

  • The mathematical theory of probability originated in the 17th century from correspondence between Pierre de Fermat and Blaise Pascal concerning gambling problems.
  • Probability is fundamental to fields like quantum mechanics, finance, and artificial intelligence.

Related words

Statistics, Data, Analysis

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